Here’s a look at how the Miami Dolphins and Denver Broncos match up in six key areas ahead of Sunday’s Week 3 game at Hard Rock Stadium (1 p.m., CBS):
When the Dolphins run: Miami is coming off an outstanding rushing performance where Raheem Mostert led the charge with 18 carries for 121 yards and two touchdowns. The Dolphins were effective with the outside zone and then broke off the big 43-yarder up the middle with the inside zone. Mostert could carry another heavy workload with Salvon Ahmed now dealing with a groin injury as Jeff Wilson Jr. remains out. Will we see some carries for De’Von Achane?
Right guard Robert Hunt and center Connor Williams have to be especially commended for their run-blocking on several plays. The offensive line could even get a boost with Pro Bowl left tackle Terron Armstead seemingly in line to make his season debut.
Denver is a decent run defense with nose tackle D.J. Jones and defensive end Zach Allen up front. The Broncos held Las Vegas tailback Josh Jacobs to 48 yards on 19 carries in their opener, but then Washington’s Brian Robinson Jr. racked up 87 yards on 18 attempts last Sunday. Edge: Even
When the Broncos run: The Dolphins run defense responded in a major way in Week 2 after defensive tackle Zach Sieler lit a fire under the unit, according to Christian Wilkins. Sieler, Wilkins, nose tackle Raekwon Davis, linebackers Bradley Chubb, Andrew Van Ginkel and David Long Jr. also stepped up to the challenge against New England. The front seven held Rhamondre Stevenson to 50 yards on 15 carries.
Miami gets another power runner this week in Javonte Williams, while Samaje Perine should also get a share of the workload. Williams was held to just 44 rushing yards against the Commanders, but just as key might be containing quarterback Russell Wilson with his legs as he actually led the Broncos with 56 yards on the ground. The Dolphins struggled with mobile quarterbacks last year. Even with Wilson 35 years old, they’ll have to key in on that. Edge: Dolphins
When the Dolphins pass: After throwing the ball all over the yard in the Week 1 win over the Chargers, Tua Tagovailoa simply had to take what the defense gave him against the Patriots. They played him with a lot of off coverage and often employed three-safety looks to not give up deep passes. He ended up 21 of 30 for 249 yards, a touchdown (on an impressive two-minute drill before halftime) and an interception when he tried a deep shot.
Surely, opponents may try similar schemes to what the Patriots showed to keep the Dolphins’ high-flying attack in check. The Broncos are 21st in pass defense through two games, but likely their two best players are in the secondary, cornerback Patrick Surtain II and safety Justin Simmons. It’ll be useful if Jaylen Waddle could clear concussion protocol in time for Sunday since Surtain is capable of holding down one side covering him or Tyreek Hill.
Miami might get Armstead back to protect Tagovailoa on the left side, but either way, the Dolphins have only allowed one sack through two games. That was Austin Jackson against Matthew Judon last Sunday. Tagovailoa has been excellent at getting the ball out quickly, so that could limit what Denver rushers Jonathon Cooper, Randy Gregory and Nik Bonitto can do. Edge: Dolphins
When the Broncos pass: Wilson is coming off an 18-for-32 outing against the Commanders where he threw for 308 yards and three touchdowns, one of them the Hail Mary on the final play before Denver’s failed 2-point conversion that sealed the loss. He is spreading the ball to different receivers as Marvin Mims is the Broncos’ leading receiver through two games with 122 yards.
Courtland Sutton has 98 yards. Jerry Jeudy debuted against Washington and had three catches for 22 yards, while fellow Broward product Brandon Johnson caught a pair of touchdowns. The Dolphins’ nickel package of Xavien Howard, Kader Kohou and Eli Apple should see plenty of work. Howard had an interception in single coverage in the Patriots game. Apple gave up catches and missed open-field tackles.
Up front, the Broncos are among the league’s worst in pass protection. Wilson has been sacked nine times, so look for the Dolphins edge rushers to feast. Chubb, the former Bronco and Van Ginkel can carry some pass-rushing momentum, and Jaelan Phillips’ status is one to monitor. Edge: Dolphins
Special teams: The Dolphins enter with some special teams concerns. They just had a field goal blocked against the Patriots, in what was really great play design by New England. Miami’s special teams unit has to bounce back from that and a second straight week of winning despite a key late kick missed by Jason Sanders. Other than that, punter Jake Bailey and returner Braxton Berrios have been solid, along with other special-teamers.
Like Sanders, Broncos kicker Will Lutz has missed an extra point and a field goal from 50-plus this season. Return man Marvin Mims had a 45-yard punt return against Washington. Edge: Broncos
Intangibles: A 1 p.m. kickoff in September for a home opener always leads to a big advantage for the Dolphins in Miami Gardens. The Broncos will be toasting on the sideline where the sun hits, coming over from thin air and altitude into the humidity for what’s an 11 a.m. Mountain time kickoff.
Denver should be fired up after the ending to their loss to the Commanders, but the Dolphins have plenty of motivation on their side with defensive coordinator Vic Fangio fired as head coach in Denver at the end of 2021 and offensive line coach Butch Barry doing much better with the Dolphins after he was let go last season in Denver. Edge: Dolphins
PREDICTION: Dolphins 28, Broncos 17